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Wyndham Championship Winner — 2026 Wyndham Championship

Starts:Aug 2, 2026, 11:05 PMEnds:Aug 9, 2026, 10:01 PM
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ResolvedWinner:Michael BrennanSettled Aug 9, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$134.2M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
160
Platforms
2
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Michael BrennanWinner
27.7%Best · Polymarket$4.8M
Alexander Noren
8.0%Best · Polymarket$1.5K
Troy Merritt
1.0%Best · Kalshi$141.2K

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

The 2026 Wyndham Championship is the PGA Tour's regular-season finale, played at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi ask bettors to pick the outright tournament winner from a large field, resolving to the player officially recognised by the PGA Tour. The event is also entwined with FedEx Cup Playoff positioning, adding urgency for players on the playoff bubble. Beau Hossler is the real-world 36-hole co-leader, yet the prediction markets tell a fractured story. Kalshi, which dominates by volume at over $105.9 million, has Hossler at 13.0%, joint-second alongside Benjamin James, with Tom Kim co-leading at 14.0% and Jordan L. Smith also at 14.0%. Polymarket prices Hossler notably higher at 14.5%, making him its solo favourite. The consensus favourite across platforms is Tom Kim at 13.5%, marginally ahead of Smith (13.5%), Hossler (12.0%), and James (12.0%) — a remarkably flat top of the market reflecting just how open the field remains heading into the weekend. Hossler made an 11-foot birdie putt on his final hole Friday for a 3-under 67 that gave him a one-stroke lead. He has never won on the PGA Tour and needs nothing short of victory to reach the postseason, leading by one shot over Ben James and Jordan Smith at 12-under. There are two dozen players within five shots of his 12-under mark, including Tom Kim and Sahith Theegala. The most striking cross-platform anomaly involves Daniel Brown, who carries a 24.8-point spread between Polymarket (24.9%) and Kalshi (0.1%), suggesting a potential Polymarket data error. Overall, Kalshi and Polymarket agree on the tight, four-way nature of the leaderboard chase, but differ meaningfully on individual valuations — the 1.05-point Kim spread and 2.45-point Hossler spread being the most tradeable discrepancies among the genuine contenders.

Updated Aug 8, 2026, 6:13 PMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsGolf