Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants

This market covers a Nippon Professional Baseball regular-season game between the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and the Yomiuri Giants. Polymarket lists the contest for July 10, while Kalshi references the July 11 scheduled start; both resolve to the winner of the completed game, with tie or full-cancellation scenarios paying out 50-50. Azuro carries the same fixture with an additional draw outcome. The pricing across platforms is unusually scattered because the snapshot appears to catch the market at different stages. Polymarket shows the BayStars at 99.6% and the Giants at just 0.4%, implying a decisive result already reflected there. Kalshi mirrors that conclusion from the opposite side, pricing a Yomiuri Giants "Yes" at 99.0% and the BayStars at 1.0%. Azuro, by contrast, still shows a much more balanced book: Giants 51.8%, BayStars 46.1%, and a Draw at 15.1%. The cross-platform spread on "Yomiuri Giants" is therefore extreme — 98.55 points between Polymarket's 0.4% and Kalshi's 99.0% — with Azuro sitting in the middle at 51.8%. The takeaway is that Polymarket and Kalshi have converged on opposite winners as the near-certain outcome, while Azuro's odds remain materially out of line with both.