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Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

Starts:Sep 2, 2026, 11:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$12.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoFavorite
62.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
42.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If a federal film or television production tax credit has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying federal law must expressly create a tax credit against federal tax liability for qualified film or television production. A deduction, expensing or depreciation provision, tariff, grant, appropriation, state or local incentive, proposal, or administrative action without qualifying federal law does NOT qualify. The legislation must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. An expired presidential pocket veto does NOT qualify. The credit need not take effect before the deadline if the law becomes law within the specified period.

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