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Settled

Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?

Starts:Nov 3, 2026Ends:Aug 6, 2026, 5:02 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:NoSettled Aug 6, 2026
Politics favorite hit rate94.8% (1,929)
Total volume
$144.4K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

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NoWinner
WonResult
Yes
LostResult

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. This market does NOT require all specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. Instead, it requires a specified subset of outcomes to occur for a Yes resolution. If the specified condition is not met, the entire market resolves to No. This market uses SENATEPARTYNOM to determine primary winners and is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

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Category

Politics

Tags

generalElectionsPrimariesUS ElectionsleastfollowingDemocraticcandidatestheirSenateJames:TalaricoTexasRajaKrishnamoorthiIllinoisJoshTurekIowaGrahamPlatnerMaineMalloryMcMorrowMichiganPeggyFlanaganMinnesota