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64 events

	Category				Providers
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — During his term	Politics	$5.1M	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?	—	$3.1M	—	Jul 27	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?	Politics	$1.4M	—	Oct 9	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?	Tech & Science	$483.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?	PoliticsWorld	$319.2K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time?	Politics	$293.8K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the US buy at least part of Greenland?	Politics	$91.6K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027?	Politics	$66.5K	—	Sep 11	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? — the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads	Tech & Science	$46.8K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?	Tech & Science	$45.5K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year?	Sports > Soccer	$43.8K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will @MrBeast reach at least 1 billion subscribers before Jan 1, 2027	Entertainment	$30.2K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?	Tech & Science	$28.8K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate? — legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations	Politics	$26.6K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Least Played Map at VALORANT Champions 2026	SportsEsports	$21.2K	—	Sep 15	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the Parti Quebecois win at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Politics	$18.0K	—	Aug 26	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 290 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?	Politics	$16.7K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?	Tech & Science	$14.4K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store? — Written order affecting at least one planned store	Politics	$13.5K	—	Sep 2	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the Buffalo Pro Football Team have a reported attendance of at least 60,108 in all home games in the 2026-27 regular season?	Sports > American Football	$13.4K	—	Aug 24	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will Ninja reach at least 10,000 subscribers?	Entertainment	$10.5K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?	Politics	$9.1K	—	Sep 7	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Jasmine Crockett personally participates in at least one campaign activity, such as a rally, fundraiser, campaign advertisement, canvassing event, or phone-banking effort, in which she specifically and expressly advocates for James Talarico’s election in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election before Nov 3, 2026?	Politics	$7.1K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the Maine Public Utilities Commission announce its final approval of fully executed contracts (not bidder selections or term-sheet awards) under the Northern Maine Renewable Energy Development Program covering both a transmission line into ISO-New England and at least 600 MW (nameplate) of northern Maine renewable generation delivering over it before Jul 1, 2027?	Politics	$7.0K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?	Politics	$5.6K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	Politics	$5.2K	—	Jul 13	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$4.8K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$4.6K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$4.4K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the Georgia Public Service Commission announce the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources before Mar 1, 2028?	Politics	$4.3K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Division with the Least Total Wins — Least Wins (2026-27)	Sports > American Football	$4.3K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$4.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?	Politics	$3.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 1 percentage points?	Politics	$3.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?	Politics	$2.9K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$2.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the sale price of any portion of Garth Brooks' music catalog sell for at least $1500000000 in 2026?	Entertainment	$2.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$2.4K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$2.2K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$2.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count be at least 218 before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027?	Politics	$2.0K	—	Sep 5	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?	Politics	$1.9K	—	Jul 23	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$1.9K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$1.9K	—	Aug 25	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 10th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$1.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?	Politics	$1.1K	—	Aug 22	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$1.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?	Politics	$1.0K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	Politics	$834	—	Sep 11	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?	Politics	$781	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU

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