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Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Starts:Jan 1, 2026, 3:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
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Total volume
$483.7K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 96.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 5.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
96.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
5.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Similar events we kept separate — a different date, bracket, or resolution window. Compare them across platforms.
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | No 97.5% · Yes 2.5% | $20.1K | Polymarket |
OutcomesNo 97.5% · Yes 2.5%Volume$20.1KPlatforms Polymarket