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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Starts:May 24, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$45.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 71.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 32.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
71.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
32.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
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