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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Starts:Jun 21, 2025, 5:00 PMEnds:Dec 31, 2028, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.4% (13,315)
Total volume
$14.4K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoFavorite
88.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
14.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

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