Will the Federal Reserve publish a dot plot for its December 2026 Summary of Economic Projections?
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity95.0% | — | — | — | — |
No No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity5.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the Federal Reserve publishing a dot plot for its December 2026 Summary of Economic Projections is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Dec 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A “dot plot” means Federal Reserve projection materials showing individual FOMC participants’ projections for the appropriate federal funds rate. It is sufficient if the projection materials include those individual federal funds rate projections, even if the exact phrase “dot plot” is not used. Mere reporting that the Fed is expected to publish, may publish, may discontinue, or is reviewing changes to the dot plot will not count.
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