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Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?

Starts:Oct 20, 2026Ends:Oct 20, 2026, 12:29 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
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Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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generalEconomicsGDPFederaldeficit-to-GDPFY2026below