Science and Technology

171 events

	Category				Providers
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term? — From 2025 to 2028	—	$78.0K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? — 05/26/26	Tech & Science	$69.8K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
US test scores in Reading in 2026?	—	$68.4K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?	MarketsTech & Science	$68.2K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
New pandemic by 2026?	—	$64.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?	Tech & Science	$63.2K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?	Tech & Science	$62.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
US test scores in Math in 2026?	—	$62.3K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?	Tech & Science	$61.5K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11 — Oct 5–11, 2026	Tech & Science	$60.9K	—	Oct 5	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Open vs Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 8	—	$59.8K	—	Oct 5	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?	Tech & Science	$59.5K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?	Tech & Science	$56.2K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?	Tech & Science	$53.5K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the FDA approve retatrutide? — retatrutide (LY3437943)	—	$50.4K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?	—	$50.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will xAI release Grok 5?	Tech & Science	$48.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? — the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads	Tech & Science	$46.8K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?	—	$46.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Top AI model this week? — On Oct 12, 2026	Tech & Science	$45.8K	—	Oct 5	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?	Tech & Science	$44.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?	—	$42.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?	—	$42.4K	—	Jul 14	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? — Before January 1, 2027	—	$41.4K	—	Oct 5	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026? — Before Nov 1, 2026	—	$40.4K	—	Oct 5	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026	—	$38.9K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Top AI model this month — On Oct 31, 2026	Tech & Science	$34.5K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027	Tech & Science	$33.9K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 5th — On Oct 12, 2026	Tech & Science	$31.1K	—	Sep 29	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?	Tech & Science	$29.1K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?	Tech & Science	$28.0K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?	—	$27.4K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel? — Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) - BLA	—	$24.9K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron	Tech & Science	$24.8K	—	Sep 30	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?	—	$24.5K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?	—	$23.8K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin? — COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression	—	$23.2K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE) — On Oct 31, 2026	Tech & Science	$23.0K	—	Oct 1	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35	Tech & Science	$21.9K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026? — 05/26/26	Tech & Science	$21.6K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
OpenRouter AI token usage in October — October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25)	Tech & Science	$20.3K	—	Sep 28	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026? — 2026	—	$20.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? — 05/26/26	Tech & Science	$19.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?	Tech & Science	$18.5K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?	—	$17.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?	—	$16.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?	Tech & Science	$16.7K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in September — September 2026	Tech & Science	$16.1K	—	Sep 11	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? — Before 2027	—	$15.3K	—	Jul 6	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip	Tech & Science	$15.0K	—	Aug 20	AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU

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