GAPS
505 gaps
340/505 gaps on this page are still profitable after both venues' trading fees. We show every real price gap, including the ones fees turn into a loss — sites that show more "arbitrage" are usually counting the fees you would pay as profit.
| Outcome | Event | Buy at | Buy opposite | Capital | Hold | Fees | Net edge | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | Nashville vs Toronto | 65.0%Kalshi | 34.0%Polymarket | $945 | ~6d | −2.7¢ | -1.7¢ | −$16 | -1.7% |
| Jon Ossoff | Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 17.0%Gemini | 82.9%Polymarket | $1.2K | ~778d | −1.6¢ | -1.5¢ | −$18 | -1.5% |
| Democratic party | WI-01 House winner? — In 2026 | 33.0%Kalshi | 66.0%Polymarket | $1.6K | ~44d | −2.4¢ | -1.4¢ | −$23 | -1.5% |
| Republican Party | MI-07 House Election Winner | 45.0%Polymarket | 54.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | ~45d | −2.7¢ | -1.7¢ | −$27 | -1.7% |
| Democratic party | VA-02 House winner? — In 2026 | 80.0%Kalshi | 19.0%Polymarket | $5.8K | ~44d | −1.7¢ | -0.7¢ | −$43 | -0.7% |
Nashville SC
Nashville vs TorontoBuy at65.0%KalshiBuy opposite34.0%Polymarket
Profit−$16Return-1.7%
Capital$945Hold~6dFees−2.7¢Net edge-1.7¢
Jon Ossoff
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Buy at17.0%GeminiBuy opposite82.9%Polymarket
Profit−$18Return-1.5%
Capital$1.2KHold~778dFees−1.6¢Net edge-1.5¢
Democratic party
WI-01 House winner? — In 2026Buy at33.0%KalshiBuy opposite66.0%Polymarket
Profit−$23Return-1.5%
Capital$1.6KHold~44dFees−2.4¢Net edge-1.4¢
Republican Party
MI-07 House Election WinnerBuy at45.0%PolymarketBuy opposite54.0%Kalshi
Profit−$27Return-1.7%
Capital$1.5KHold~45dFees−2.7¢Net edge-1.7¢
Democratic party
VA-02 House winner? — In 2026Buy at80.0%KalshiBuy opposite19.0%Polymarket
Profit−$43Return-0.7%
Capital$5.8KHold~44dFees−1.7¢Net edge-0.7¢
Showing 501–505 of 505